Possible Positive Outcome of Assange Asylum
Rafael Correa said "we have nothing to hide" with regard to his support/lack of fear of Wikileak disclosures with regard to Ecuador. Detractors have portrayed Ecuador as press repressive. With the OAS about to discuss the asylum/safe passage issue, I have been thinking about what could happen that could benefit Latin America.
While the OAS is not the only body that is going to discuss this, the fact that the US is a member could make this discussion the most interesting. Ecuador has stuck its neck out. It is safe to assume the US government will do its best to find things which Ecuador does have to hide. If there are such things, this could mean the US will have to disclose more bad things it has done.
What will other OAS members do? The OAS has been drifting away from being a US-run show. Some countries may see this as an opportunity to advance an anti-colonialism agenda. There are some obvious countries that are likely to take that position but what about some others?
To take possibly the most extreme example, we have Colombia. They receive huge quantities of US military aid so they are not in a good position to bite the hand that feeds them. But it is a lot safer to stick with your neighbors at time like this.
While I see Nicaragua as on the obvious Ecuador supporter list, what information may come out about its neighbors? Could, for example, Honduras see this as an opportunity to come clean about US involvement in the 2009 coup? Does Costa Rica have some dirty laundry to air? And, of course, are there things related to Nicaragua that will be exposed by others?
The potential for finding out some regional truths reminds me of the Iran-Contra hearings. During those hearings, in order to protect other countries it was agreed that rather than using country names, each would be assigned a number. So, for example, you might have heard "We bought AK-47s from country 3 with money from countr 5 and shipped them to country 1". It would take 10 minutes for anyone to make a scorecard translating country numbers to names.
As preparation I am thinking of making my own scorecard with country names and what secrets they have to hide. This should be fun.